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Low-cap stocks fuel NGX rally as market rises 29.11% year-to-date

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LagosPolice

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Oct 14, 2020
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The NGX rally is being driven mostly by low-cap stocks, even as the broader market’s year-to-date gain reaches 29.11%. According to recent market reports, ten small-cap names with a combined market value of about N210 billion have each risen more than 300% this year.
The strongest performers include Zichis Agro Allied, Fortis Global Insurance, John Holt, Premier Paints, Red Star Express, SCOA, DEAP Capital, RT Briscoe, NCR, and Infinity Trust Mortgage. Their sharp gains show that speculative interest and momentum are playing a major role in the current rally.
Even though low-cap stocks are posting the biggest percentage gains, large-cap stocks are contributing far more to total market value creation. Market capitalisation on the NGX has climbed to about N128.98 trillion, with the ASI up 29.12% year to date.
 
The NGX rally is being driven mostly by low-cap stocks, even as the broader market’s year-to-date gain reaches 29.11%. According to recent market reports, ten small-cap names with a combined market value of about N210 billion have each risen more than 300% this year.
The strongest performers include Zichis Agro Allied, Fortis Global Insurance, John Holt, Premier Paints, Red Star Express, SCOA, DEAP Capital, RT Briscoe, NCR, and Infinity Trust Mortgage. Their sharp gains show that speculative interest and momentum are playing a major role in the current rally.
Even though low-cap stocks are posting the biggest percentage gains, large-cap stocks are contributing far more to total market value creation. Market capitalisation on the NGX has climbed to about N128.98 trillion, with the ASI up 29.12% year to date.
This is a very important observation—and it tells two different stories happening at the same time on the market

Yes, low-cap names are delivering explosive gains (300%+), but that kind of move is often driven more by momentum and speculative interest than deep fundamentals. Stocks like RT Briscoe and Red Star Express show how quickly sentiment can push prices when liquidity flows in.

However, the real backbone of the market is still the large caps. They may not move as aggressively, but they are responsible for the bulk of value creation and stability in the rally.

So the key takeaway is balance:
• Low caps → high upside, higher risk (timing matters a lot)
• Large caps → steady growth, stronger fundamentals

Smart investors don’t just chase the biggest gainers, they understand where the rally is coming from and how sustainable it is.
 
The NGX rally is being driven mostly by low-cap stocks, even as the broader market’s year-to-date gain reaches 29.11%. According to recent market reports, ten small-cap names with a combined market value of about N210 billion have each risen more than 300% this year.
The strongest performers include Zichis Agro Allied, Fortis Global Insurance, John Holt, Premier Paints, Red Star Express, SCOA, DEAP Capital, RT Briscoe, NCR, and Infinity Trust Mortgage. Their sharp gains show that speculative interest and momentum are playing a major role in the current rally.
Even though low-cap stocks are posting the biggest percentage gains, large-cap stocks are contributing far more to total market value creation. Market capitalisation on the NGX has climbed to about N128.98 trillion, with the ASI up 29.12% year to date.
What we are seeing now is a classic two-speed market.
The momentum and excitement are in small caps like:
Zichis Agro Allied Industries Plc
Fortis Global Insurance Plc
John Holt Plc
Premier Paints Plc
Red Star Express Plc
SCOA Nigeria Plc
DEAP Capital Management & Trust Plc
RT Briscoe Plc
NCR Nigeria Plc
Infinity Trust Mortgage Bank Plc
These stocks are giving percentage gains.
But the real drivers of market capitalisation and ASI movement are still the large caps — banks, telecoms, and major consumer companies. That’s where institutional money is.
So what’s happening?
Small caps → Speculation, low float, momentum
Large caps → Liquidity, pension funds, foreign investors, real capital
 
This is a very important observation—and it tells two different stories happening at the same time on the market

Yes, low-cap names are delivering explosive gains (300%+), but that kind of move is often driven more by momentum and speculative interest than deep fundamentals. Stocks like RT Briscoe and Red Star Express show how quickly sentiment can push prices when liquidity flows in.

However, the real backbone of the market is still the large caps. They may not move as aggressively, but they are responsible for the bulk of value creation and stability in the rally.

So the key takeaway is balance:
• Low caps → high upside, higher risk (timing matters a lot)
• Large caps → steady growth, stronger fundamentals

Smart investors don’t just chase the biggest gainers, they understand where the rally is coming from and how sustainable it is.
You’ve summarized it well. What we’re really seeing is a market split between momentum and money.
The momentum is in the small caps — names like RT Briscoe Plc and Red Star Express Plc where relatively small liquidity can move prices very fast. That’s why you see 200–300% moves. It’s not always fundamentals; sometimes it’s just order flow + low float.
But the money — the real institutional money — is sitting in the large caps:
Banks
Telecoms
Major consumer companies